How wrong is astrology and its predictions
Interpretation of the futureBalance of the astrological predictions for 2020
"Good evening, ladies and gentlemen. I welcome you to the 'Tagesschau'. The conflict between the USA and Iraq has intensified."
The news of January 1, 2020: nothing exciting new in the world. Like every year, astrologers have predicted crises, wars and catastrophes all over the world, quite randomly, and thus - of course - they were right.
"Most of these predictions are very vague. Or they are such that you actually have to hit a hit. There is an American fortune-teller who predicts earthquakes in pretty much every American state, and every year. And - of course she will have a hit at some point. "
The Mainz mathematician Michael Kunkel has been evaluating prognoses for 19 years, on behalf of the Society for the Scientific Investigation of Parasciences (GWUP). Just a few weeks after January 1st, astrologers were pretty much faced with the "challenge of the year".
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Reasonable people dismiss horoscopes as nonsense. But even the very first horoscope in a British newspaper was amazingly correct, Arno Orzessek found out. A gloss.
2020 was a bad year for astrologers
"Good evening, ladies and gentlemen. I welcome you to the Tagesschau. The new corona virus, which is spreading rapidly in China, has now also arrived in Germany."
"It was a very bad year for the clairvoyants, astrologers, because they did not foresee the most important event of the year,"
says Michael Kunkel about the lack of predictions about Corona. Klaus Ludwig, chairman of the German Association of Astrologers, also admits that terms such as "virus" or "pandemic" did not appear in any forecast.
"Well, not to that extent. There was a Swiss colleague, Beat Kofmehl, I like to mention the name here because he simply made an ingenious prediction in November 2019 that he predicted a major epidemic.
But even this prediction does not meet with the approval of the experienced prognostic critic Michael Kunkel.
"Big epidemic 'is also very vague. Epidemics are also predicted again and again. One would then also have to see: How often has this prediction been made by this person? It's like the stock market. There are so-called crash prophets on the stock market . They have predicted every crash of the last 20 years because they always predict a stock market crash. If I predict rain tomorrow every day, I'm more often than not right. "
Astrologers were right when developing the DAX
Astrologer boss Klaus Ludwig does not accept this criticism. He emphasizes his approach to forecasting.
"As a serious astrologer, I do not mean by predicting concrete events, but rather that I predict which energy will prevail, whether it is a more relaxed time, whether it is a tense time. So I am not frustrated that we are not Corona have predicted in that sense, but I think as far as the environment is concerned, we were very right with 'extreme measures' and 'extreme restrictions'. "
Ludwig was just as correct in predicting the German share index. He had predicted his fall to 8500 points - which it did in 2020.
"He was right about that, and you have to give him credit for that too."
According to Michael Kunkel, it was not Corona that was responsible for the downfall of the DAX, but the orbits of the planets in the solar system.
"It's about the course of Jupiter in the signs. And there are certain cycles that strongly indicated that there will be a decline in the DAX."
Prediction with minor planets that do not even exist
Here at the latest, however, the astrologers come into conflict with the astronomers. In contrast to fortune tellers who read from cards or glass balls, astrologers base their predictions on the course of the planets over the course of a year through the signs of the zodiac. Some astrologers don't mind that some of these supposed planets don't even exist, says Michael Kunkel from the GWUP.
"For example, there is a very well-known astrological school, the Hamburg School, which uses eight planets that do not even exist, the so-called Transneptunes."
Yes, there are Transneptunes, astronomers could now use them in defense of astrologers. These are the dwarf and minor planets that orbit the sun beyond the outermost planet Neptune.
"The eight from the Hamburg school don't exist. They are called Kronos, Admetos and so on. Two Hamburg astrologers commuted them around the 1920s. They would have a circular path around the sun, by the way. That would also be very unusual. "
The view remains ahead. What will 2021 bring, Klaus Ludwig?
"The big topic will be: the confrontation between new and old, to put it very simply. You can of course say 'it always exists', but now in 2021 that will be much sharper, much more extreme and much more controversial. "
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